The numbers game
The league table is as bunched in the middle as last year when Leicester went down with 52 points. I suggest the target to survive this season will be 53 points. After 13 games played, a return of 6 points means 47 are required from the remaining 33 games. That's 1.42 points per game. It's not an insurmountable hurdle, but it requires top 10 form all the way between now and the end of the season and you'd think it means winning around 13 of those remaining 33 games.
After a return of 1 point from 2 home games this week, that doesn't look likely. Most people on the board were saying CC should go unless he could win 4 points this week. Well, he hasn't. Come the game against Derby, more than a third of the season will already have gone. It's racing along, the team haven't found their feet while that column that reads "points" simply isn't ticking over at all. Currently the gap remains 6 points, but any day now it's likely to jump to double figures - all it takes is one set of bad results.
Last season, the three teams in the bottom three at Christmas (halfway through) were the three that went down. Unless something changes it will soon require play-off form between now and the end of the season (2 points from the next 3 games and that's the situation), and then automatic promotion form all the way to the end. Is there anyone left who seriously believes CC can inspire that level of results in his team? Not me.
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